Green Coffee Market in August 2026: Arabica Remains in Short Supply

The green coffee market remains volatile. In mid-August, prices initially rose following a powerful earthquake in Colombia, which disrupted coffee transportation and exports, before declining as supplies partially recovered.

At the same time, Arabica stocks remain extremely low, while Robusta supply is gradually increasing, supported by strong exports from Vietnam and rising certified exchange stocks.

Earthquake in Colombia Disrupts Coffee Exports

A 7.4-magnitude earthquake affected western Colombia and key transportation routes. Operations at the Port of Buenaventura were temporarily suspended, raising concerns about Colombian Arabica supplies.

Exports later began to gradually recover, including through alternative ports, easing pressure on the market and leading to a price correction.

Arabica Stocks Continue to Decline

The September ICE Arabica futures contract traded at around 330 cents per pound. Meanwhile, certified ICE stocks fell to approximately 236,400 bags — their lowest level in nearly three years.

Low inventories mean that the market remains sensitive to any new supply disruptions. Even as Colombian exports recover, limited Arabica availability continues to support prices.

Current green coffee lots available for roasting can be found in the Green Coffee Hub catalog.

Brazil Increases Supply, While Robusta Remains More Stable

Coffee harvesting in Brazil continues under favorable weather conditions. As of August 7, approximately 74.6% of the crop had been harvested, compared with 80.4% a year earlier. As harvesting progresses, coffee supply is expected to gradually increase.

The Robusta market appears more stable. The September ICE contract traded at around USD 3,630 per tonne, while certified stocks increased to 4,514 lots.

Vietnam is providing additional support to global supply: from January through July 2026, the country exported approximately 1.31 million tonnes of coffee.

What This Means for Green Coffee Buyers

The market is currently being shaped by two main factors: the limited availability of Arabica continues to support prices, while the Brazilian harvest and strong Robusta shipments are gradually improving the overall supply situation.

When planning purchases, buyers should pay particular attention to ICE stocks, the recovery of logistics in Colombia, and the pace of the Brazilian harvest.

Current origins and available lots can be found in the Green Coffee Hub catalog.